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In areas around the equator, natural climate cycles influence localized conflict and civil wars, according to a new study published in Nature. For example, countries in this region face double the risk of armed conflict breaking out during warm, dry El Niño years than during the cooler La Niña phase. So, the big takeaway is that heat equals conflict in these regions. This study is remarkable because it shines a light on a hotly contested climate-influence issue in the science community, and can help reinforce localized national security strategies.

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My how the times have changed. While climate change was not necessarily a priority for the previous administration, for the Obama team, it is top-of-mind. So much so that the defense and intelligence leaders are acknowledging and even anticipating climate change as being a long-term and significant threat to national security — according to the Christian Science Monitor.

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